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Jan 2006: Facts and predictions to make you think

Total world cross-border trade as a percentage of global GDP:
1990: 18%
2015 (estimated): 30%
Number of regional trade agreements
In 1990: 50
In 2005: 250
Change in Germany's population over the age of 75 from 2005 to 2015: 33%
Increase in tax burden needed to maintain current benefit levels for Germany's future generation: 90%
Change in Japan's population over the age of 75 from 2005 to 2015: 36%
Change in Japan's population under the age of 5 from 2005 to 2015: -13%

Increase in tax burden needed to maintain current benefit levels for Japan's future generation: 175%

Computational capability of an Intel processor, as measured in instructions per second
1971: 60,000
2005: 10,800,000,000

Multiple by which e-mail traffic has grown from 1997 to 2005: 215

Number of US tax returns prepared in India
2003: 25,000
2005: 400,000

Combined market cap of top 150 mega-institutions
1994: $4 trillion
2004: $11 trillion

Total capital under management by private equity firms in 2003 in the United States and Europe: $1 trillion

Market cap of the NYSE in 2003: $11 trillion

Growth rate of the total wealth controlled by millionaires in China from 1986 to 2001: 600%

Estimated number of Chinese households to achieve European income levels by 2020 (assuming real income grows at 8 percent annually): 100 million

Total number of workers in China: 750 million

Number employed in China's state-owned companies: 375 million

Year when the income gap in the United States between the wealthiest 5% and the bottom 10% was the widest ever recorded: 2004

Part of national GDP spent on the public sector in the United Kingdom in 2004: 20%

UK public-sector spending as a ratio of GDP when transfer payments (for example, pensions) are included: 40%

Proportion of Latin Americans who would prefer a dictator to democracy if he improved their living conditions: 50%

Muslims as a percentage of the global population
2000: 19%
2025 (estimated): 30%

Number of major violent conflicts
1991: 58
2005: 22

Number of coal-fired power plants China plans to build by 2012: 562

Estimated year China will overtake the United States as the number-one carbon emitter: 2025

Estimated year CO2 levels will hit 500 parts per million: 2050

Years since CO2 levels last hit 500 parts per million: 50 million

Average years it takes a CO2 molecule, once produced, to degrade: 100

Global CEOs who think overregulation is a threat to growth: 61%

Probability that a company in an industry's top revenue quartile will not be there in five years: 30 percent

Jan 2005: Electronics Sales in US

Sales of consumer electronics in the US will climb to a record $126bn in 2005, an 11 per cent increase over the $113.5bn in 2004 sales marking the second year of double digit growth, according to the Consumer Electronics Association.

Sales of digital cameras are expected to top 20m units in 2005, up from 17.6m last year, with revenue projected to rise to $5bn from $4.5bn. Sales of digital TV products - driven by sales of flat-panel displays built around liquid crystal or plasma technologies and a growing interest in high-definition formats - in particular surged last year, reaching $10.7bn, or 7.3m units, up 78 per cent from 2004.

LCD-based TV sales in the US topped $2bn in 2004 and will surpass $3bn in 2005,ccording to the CEA, while total plasma TV sales are expected to grow from 853,000 in 2004 to over 1.4m units this year.

Flash Media 2005 Projections

There is a boom in demand for storage - particularly flash media - as digital content grows and the storage demands of MP3 players, digital cameras and now mobile phones expands. Sales of flash media cards in the US soared from $1bn in 2003 to more than $3bn in 2004, and are expected to reach nearly $6bn in 2005.

Microsoft Seven Units

July 2003

Segment	Revenue, in billions	Major Products

Client	$10.39	XP-2000 OS
Information Worker	$9.23	Office; Project; Visio
Server Platforms	$7.14	Win-Exchange-SQL Servers
Home and Entertainment	$2.75	Xbox; PC games
MSN	$1.95	MSN
Business Solutions	$0.57	Navision; bCentral
Mobile and Embedded Devices	$0.16	Pocket PC; Smartphones

Microsoft's Office

Dec. 2004: Microsoft's Office generates $10.6 billion in annual revenue, making it Microsoft's second-largest business, behind Windows. There are 400 million people using Microsoft Office every day. Office is now defined as a "system" of products and services instead of a "suite" of applications.

Top 5 vendors
Worldwide handset shipments

Q1 2003 (Preliminary)
Source: IDC, April 23, 2003

	Q1 2003
Vendor	Shipment	Share

Nokia	38,150,400	35.5%
Motorola	16,700,000	15.5%
Samsung	13,200,000	12.3%
Siemens	8,000,000	7.4%
LG	5,620,000	5.2%
Other	25,916,102	4.1%
	107,586,494

Top 5 vendors
Worldwide converged device shipments

Q1 2003 (Preliminary)
Source: IDC, April 23, 2003

	Q1 2003
Vendor	Shipment	Share

Nokia	980,400	57.3%
SonyEricsson	190,000	11.1%
Motorola	127,000	7.4%
Samsung	88,000	5.1%
Handspring	70,000	4.1%
Other	255,557	14.9%
	1,710,557

Top 5 vendors
Worldwide handheld shipment

Q1 2003 (Preliminary*)
Source: IDC Research

	Q1 2003*		Q2 2002		Q2 2001
Vendor	Shipment	Share	Shipment	Share	Shipment	Share

Palm	881,709	36%	845.640	32.2%	890.00	30.8%
HP	444,000	18.1%	431.650	16.5%	642.66	22.2%
Sony	400,000	16.3%	261.380	10.0%	75.00	2.6%
Dell	159,000	6.5%
Toshiba	87,322	3.6%
Casio	83,250	3.4%
Handspring	70,000	2.9%
Sharp	68,960	2.8%
RIM	51,100	2.1%
GSL	48,500	2.0%
Other	158,300	6.5%
All	2,452,041		2,622,270		2,891,900

Notes: Vendor shipments are branded shipments and exclude OEM sales for all vendors. - Handheld devices are pocket-sized, either pen or keypad-centric, and are capable of synchronizing with desktop or laptop computers. Handheld devices are designed to access and manage data including office documents, multimedia, and games. - Handheld devices do not include telephony but may include wireless capabilities which enable Internet access and text communication. These devices feature evolved operating systems or application environments, such as the Palm OS, Pocket PC, Windows CE, Handheld PC 2000, Linux or proprietary solutions and have the ability to download and run applications and store user data beyond their required PIM capabilities.

Japan electronics and information technology
Industries association

http://www.jeita.or.jp/

China

Since 1990, China's GDP has quintupled to $1.2 trillion. In '86 china received only $2Billion in FDI (Foreign Direct Investment).

In '01 that figure was over $47Billion, and amount equal to 80% of all FDI for Asia! Furthermore China has one of the highest savings rates of any major country in the world with approx 35% of national income.

By 2004, China will surpass US in the number of internet, cell phones, and landline sunscribers. Compound annual growth rate in China of telecom subscribers is 25.7%, in the US that figure is 6.7%.
FDI Statistics
Sohu.com (NASDAQ: sohu) is China's premier online brand and indispensable to the daily life of millions of Chinese who use the portal for their e-mail, SMS messaging, news, search, browsing and shopping. Tom.com is a competitor. (HKSE)

Data on US economy

Bureau of Labor Statistics